The WNBA semifinals open Sunday with a doubleheader, and both series feature teams that have faced each other all season.

The No. 4 Atlanta Dream (30-14) host the No. 8 New York Liberty (26-18) at 2 p.m. ET on ABC. The Liberty knocked off top-seeded Minnesota in the first round, but Atlanta beat them twice in three days to close the regular season and enter Game 1 as a 3.5-point favorite. Angel Reese was named Defensive Player of the Year on Thursday, and her first test is keeping Breanna Stewart in check.

Then the defending champion Las Vegas Aces (31-13) visit the No. 2 Golden State Valkyries (32-12) at 4 p.m. ET on NBC. The Valkyries have home court, but they went 0-3 against Las Vegas this season, and the Aces are 1.5-point road favorites. Golden State needed a 16-point second-half comeback against Dallas to get here, while A’ja Wilson and the Aces closed out Indiana in Game 3 on Thursday.

Below, we break down our best bets for Sunday, including props on Stewart, Wilson, and Reese.

Below, we break down our best bets for Game 1, including props on Stewart and Reese. New users can bet $5 on the WNBA and get $150 in Bonus Bets at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Liberty vs. Dream odds

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Liberty vs. Dream prediction

The Liberty have the size advantage on paper, and that’s the case for New York in this series. Stewart, Jonquel Jones, and Leonie Fiebich give them a frontcourt that can make life hard for anyone.

That said, Atlanta has been built to handle exactly that. Reese has made the Dream one of the toughest teams in the league to get extra possessions against. They’ve allowed the fewest second-chance points per game in the WNBA this season so that New York won’t get many cheap points off misses.

The Dream can also beat you in more ways than the Liberty can. Atlanta finished second in the league in scoring, and they don’t need Reese to carry the offense. Rhyne Howard put up 26 points and five steals in the playoff opener against Washington, and Allisha Gray dropped 24 the last time these two teams met.

Home court matters here too. The Dream went 15-7 at State Farm Arena, while New York was barely above .500 on the road at 12-10.

New York deserves credit for knocking off Minnesota, but they’re going on the road again against a team that’s handled them twice in the last two weeks. We like the Dream to take Game 1 and hold serve at home.

Prediction: Dream 97, Liberty 91

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Liberty vs. Dream best bet

These are two of the league’s best offenses. Both teams finished in the top five in scoring, and together they averaged over 181 points a game this season. That’s a good cushion over this number.

Atlanta also likes to push the pace. The Dream ranked fifth in the league in pace, and that pulls New York into a faster game than they usually play. When these two met in Brooklyn on Sept. 21, they combined for 179.

Playoff basketball has been slower so far. All four first-round games involving these teams finished in the 160s, and their regular-season finale stayed well under. Reese also left that game early after taking a hit to the face, though, so it’s tough to read much into it.

The bigger point is that the Liberty can’t win this series by grinding it out. Their best path is Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jones trading buckets with Atlanta, and the Dream have plenty of scorers to keep up. If both offenses look like they did for most of the season, 173 points shouldn’t be a tall order.

Can either defense really slow the other down for 40 minutes? I don’t think so.

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Best player props Liberty vs. Dream

Breanna Stewart best bet

Player props for Game 1 aren’t posted yet, so this is based on a projected line of 8.5. If that’s where the number lands, we’d take the under.

Stewart averaged 8.1 rebounds a game this season, so 8.5 is already a little above where she usually finishes. She also isn’t even the Liberty’s top rebounder. Jonquel Jones led New York at 8.9 boards a game, and with Fiebich also in the frontcourt, those rebounds get split three ways.

Then there’s Reese. She led the WNBA in rebounding and grabbed nearly a third of the available defensive rebounds when she was on the floor. Every miss Atlanta crashes on is one less chance for Stewart.

Stewart has had her big nights on the glass, and if this turns into a high-scoring game, there are fewer misses to go around anyway. With Reese and Jones both in the paint, we’d rather bet against her than on her here.

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Angel Reese best bet

• Angel Reese over 1.5 blocks (projected line)

Reese’s player props for Game 1 aren’t out yet either, so this is off a projected line of 1.5. If it opens there, we’d lean over.

Reese has been more active as a shot blocker lately. She swatted three shots in the series clincher against Washington and had three more against Chicago in the final week of the regular season. Facing a Liberty team that wants to play through Stewart and Jones inside, she should get plenty of chances at the rim.

Blocks haven’t been her calling card. She averaged less than one a game during the regular season, and most of her DPOY case was built on rebounding and steals. She also went without a block in the last meeting with New York, though she played only 17 minutes before leaving with the hit to the face.

That said, this is the biggest stage of her career, and the Liberty will test her in the paint all night.

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Aces vs. Valkyries odds

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Aces vs. Valkyries prediction 

Golden State has been one of the league’s best home teams, going 17-5 at Chase Center this season. The Valkyries also have the league’s best defense, and they showed it in Game 3 against Dallas, holding the Wings to just 20 points over the final 18 minutes.

That said, the Aces have handled them all year. Las Vegas beat Golden State by more than 11 points in their three meetings, and one of those wins came at Chase Center. The Aces were also 16-6 on the road, so playing away from home doesn’t rattle them.

What separates Las Vegas is that it doesn’t rely on one player to score. Wilson gets the attention, but Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray can each take over a game. The Valkyries don’t have that kind of firepower, and their offense went completely cold for long stretches against Dallas before Gabby Williams bailed them out late.

Rest is a factor too. The Aces closed out Indiana on Thursday, while Golden State had to grind through a Game 3 on Friday night and turn around for a Sunday afternoon tip.

These teams haven’t played each other since June, so the regular-season results only tell you so much. Still, the defending champs have more ways to win, and I like them to steal Game 1 on the road.

Prediction: Aces 83, Valkyries 78

Aces vs. Valkyries best bet 

I’d rather take the Aces straight up than lay the 1.5 points. At -112, the price is barely different from the spread, and if Las Vegas wins, they don’t have to win by two.

The Valkyries’ defense is legit, but it isn’t unbeatable. Dallas put up 108 on them in Game 2, and Arike Ogunbowale dropped a playoff-record 45. Las Vegas has more scorers than the Wings do, and the Aces just put up 94 to close out Indiana.

Golden State needed every bit of a 16-point comeback to survive the first round. I’ll back the more complete team at near even money.

Best player props: Aces vs. Valkyries

A’ja Wilson best bet

Wilson is playing like someone who wants a fifth MVP and a fourth ring, and this number feels low for what she’s doing right now.

Wilson led the league in scoring during the regular season at 26.2 points per game, and she’s found another gear in the playoffs. She averaged 32 points against Indiana while shooting nearly 65% from the field, capped by a 36-point night in the deciding Game 3.

Her minutes are up, too. Wilson has been playing around 35 minutes a night in this postseason, a few more than she saw during the regular season. More time on the floor means more touches, and the Aces run nearly everything through her when the games matter.

She’s also had her way with Golden State. Wilson dropped 28 points in both the May and June meetings, and she went for 20 in the first half alone in the June game in Vegas.

I’ll admit the matchup isn’t easy. The Valkyries have the best defense in the WNBA, and Kiah Stokes knows Wilson’s game well after years as her teammate. Wilson was held to 19 in the last regular-season meeting in June.

That said, Golden State has no one who can stay in front of her for 35 minutes. Wilson gets to her spots in the midrange and lives at the free-throw line. I’ll back her to clear 25 points in Game 1.