A new main event looks to entertain fans at the Meta Apex when Waldo Cortes-Acosta faces Johnny Walker in heavyweight action.
Sean Brady vs. Gabriel Bonfim got canceled, and two entertaining heavyweights stepped up. Cortes-Acosta (17-4) is ranked eighth in the heavyweight rankings. He aims to end a two-fight losing streak against Walker (23-10, 1 NC), ranked 12th, who looks to make an easy transition from light heavyweight to heavyweight.
The co-main event will see a former contender attempting to secure another title shot. Tatiana Suarez (12-1) faces the rising Virna Jandiroba (23-4).
We break down the best prediction market apps for UFC Vegas 124, including the top promos and value picks on ProphetX, Kalshi, Polymarket and more. New users can get started with promo code TSN to earn a $40 prediction bonus on ProphetX.
Here’s everything you need to know about using the best prediction markets for Saturday’s UFC Vegas 124.
MORE: A complete guide for using ProphetX
UFC Vegas 124 prediction market offers
ProphetX prediction market offer
ProphetX is one of the best up-and-coming prediction markets in the country, and the new user promo code doesn’t hurt. Currently, first-time traders on ProphetX can claim an enticing welcome offer at sign-up to trade $40 and get $40 in bonus funds.
Once applying promo code TSN, new users must trade $40 on any qualifying market to receive the bonus reward. The $40 bonus will be paid out in two $10 and one $20 installments across 15 days. With the welcome bonus awarded right out of the gate, new players can have the ability to continue trading on the ProphetX platform using incentive funds rather than having to make an additional deposit right away.
PROPHETX: New users can use promo code TSN to trade $40 and get $40 in incentive funds
OG.com prediction market offer
On OG.com, new users can trade $10 and get $10 on the prediction platform.
This is exclusive to new accounts that are verified as 18 years old and reside in the United States. Availability varies by state, and other terms and conditions may apply.
How to trade UFC Vegas 124 with prediction markets
Trading on this weekend’s UFC Vegas 124 card is a simple process for users to take part in. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to trade in on the action:
- (if applicable) Create a prediction market account: Users must choose on which prediction market to create an account with.
- (if applicable) Verify your account and deposit: Once users set up their account with verification details and deposit funds, they can move on to making a prediction.
- Find the UFC section: This location varies across the market, but this can usually be found on the top or side navigation bar.
- Locate a desirable game and market: Now that you’ve made it to the UFC tab, you’ll be presented with fights that can be predicted on. Click on a matchup and find a market (game lines, player props, etc.). Good luck!
ProphetX UFC Vegas 124 prediction markets
ProphetX has an extensive selection of available markets for Saturday night’s UFC Vegas 124 card. As a reminder for those used to sports betting, ProphetX displays market percentages instead of betting odds. The percentages reflect the collective implied probability of an event. Meanwhile, betting odds are set by the house to bake in a profit margin.
Here’s an outline of some markets users can predict on:
- Game lines (moneyline, total rounds)
- Method of victory
- To go the distance
- Significant strikes
MORE: Promo code TSN gets you $75 in investment funds when you trade $50 on ProphetX
ProphetX UFC Vegas 124 value picks
When he’s on, Cortes-Acosta is dangerous. “Salsa Boy” lands 5.03 significant strikes per minute and averages 0.36 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. He has a 47% strike accuracy mark but absorbs 3.44 strikes.
Cortes-Acosta is currently on a two-fight losing streak against top contenders.
Walker is 2-2 in his last four fights. The dancing fighter lands 3.98 significant strikes and has a 55% strike accuracy mark. He’s known for his vicious strikes that can come at any moment.
It’s been an interesting journey for Walker. He went from being considered the future to working his way back up the ladder. Cortes-Acosta fights often, as this is his second fight in two months. He’s flown too close to the sun, but has proven to be a game fighter.
Cortes-Acosta should continue to entertain, winning via knockout within the first two rounds.
Winner of The Ultimate Fighter 23 strawweight tournament, Suarez lands 2.86 significant strikes per minute. She also averages 4.52 takedowns landed per 15 minutes, landing six in her last two fights. Suarez lost a fight for gold, but has since won two straight.
A former Invicta champion, Jandiroba holds the record for most control time in strawweight history. She averages 3.13 takedowns landed per 15 minutes, landing six against Tabatha Ricci. “Carcara” also lands 2.27 significant strikes.
It’s the third time this fight has been attempted, as both have backed out at various points.
Jandiroba has a solid takedown defense, but Suarez’s ground game is elite. The latter should make things interesting and force Jandiroba to scramble to adapt.
Like his nickname, Davey Grant is “Dangerous.” He lands 5.58 significant strikes per minute, landing 162 against Adrian Luna Martinetti. Grant also absorbs 4.04 strikes.
Smith lands 4.18 significant strikes and has a 48% strike accuracy mark. “Swift” also averages 2.98 takedowns landed per 15 minutes.
Given Smith’s ability to cause trouble on his feet and the floor, it may be too much for Grant, who is susceptible to taking damage. The two will swing away, with Smith having the edge before the second round ends.
Turman hasn’t won a fight since 2022 and hasn’t competed in the octagon since 2023. Ko last fought in July. He lands 3.15 significant strikes per minute and averages 3.00 takedowns landed per 15 minutes.
Turman lands 3.23 significant strikes and averages 1.55 takedowns landed. However, while “The Prodigy” can cause a dramatic upset, time is not on his side. He faces a dangerous return opponent. It should be easy target practice for Ko.
Kalshi UFC Vegas 124 markets
Of course, Kalshi offers their own batch of markets for UFC Vegas 124 as well. They’re outlined here:
- Game lines (winner)
- Go the distance
- Method of victory
- Round of victory
- Method of finish
- Round of finish
Kalshi UFC Vegas 124 value picks
Billy Elekana has won two straight via submission. He lands 2.71 significant strikes per minute and averages 0.85 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. Lucas Fernando competes in his second octagon fight since joining from LFA and his third since 2023. He lands 3.71 significant strikes and averages 1.71 takedowns landed.
Given another chance following an appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series, Fernando has made the most of the opportunity. He aims not to waste it.
While Elekana is a credible threat, his past wins, especially the level of talent he’s faced, do not inspire confidence. Fernando should add to his knockout total in this fight.
- Mantas Kondratavicius to win ML vs. Andre Petroski (71% at Kalshi)
Mantas Kondratavicius has competed all over the combat sports world. He impressed on Dana White’s Contender Series and last fought in March, landing 75 significant strikes.
Petroski has lost three straight fights, with the competition significantly outlanding him. The veteran lands 2.75 significant strikes and averages 3.13 takedowns landed per 15 minutes.
Petroski’s odds have remained consistent due to the losing streak. Kondratavicius should make a statement on fight night.
OG.com UFC Vegas 124 prediction markets
OG.com also takes predictions for this weekend’s UFC Vegas 124. Here’s what platform users can decide on the card:
- Game lines (winner)
- Method of victory
- Round of victory
- Method of finish
- Fight to go the distance
- Round of finish
MORE: New users on OG.com can trade $10 to get $10 using code TSN25
Polymarket UFC Vegas 124 markets
Finally, it’s time to look at what markets Polymarket is offering for Saturday’s UFC Vegas 124 card. Here’s what users can predict on:
- Game lines (winner)
- Method of victory
- Go the distance
- Round of victory
- Round of finish
- Method of finish
