Halfway around the world in Saudi Arabia, the “Mexico vs. The World” boxing card will commence at The Venue in Riyadh on Saturday.
The highly-anticipated card will be headlined by Canelo Alvarez when he takes on Christian Mbilli for the WBC super middleweight championship. Mbilli has yet to lose in his 30-fight boxing career (29-0-1), and he will attempt to defend his WBC belt against one of the greatest boxers of the 21st century. This will be Canelo’s first fight since losing via decision to Terence Crawford back in September of 2025.
With so many sports like boxing, MMA, NFL, NBA, NHL and college football all in action, now is the perfect time for sports fans to use prediction markets. New users can get started with promo code TSN to earn a $75 prediction bonus on ProphetX.
Here’s everything you need to know about how to use the best prediction markets for Saturday’s Mexico vs. The World card in Saudi Arabia.
MORE: A complete guide for using ProphetX
WBC super middleweight: Alvarez vs. Mbilli prediction market offers
| Platform | Current offer | Fees |
| ProphetX | Trade $50, get $75 | 2% commission on WINS ONLY |
| OG.com | Trade $10, get $10 | 5% taker fee for sports |
| Kalshi | Trade $25, get $25 | $0.07 – $1.75 per 100 contracts |
| Polymarket | Deposit $10, get $50 | $0.02 per contract |
ProphetX prediction market offer
ProphetX is one of the best up-and-coming prediction market platforms in the country, and the new user promo code is a big reason for that status. Currently, first-time players on ProphetX can claim a generous welcome offer at sign-up to trade $50 and get $75 in bonus funds.
Once applying the TSN promo code, new users must trade $50 on any qualifying market to receive the bonus reward. The $75 bonus will be paid out in three $25 increments over 14 days. With the welcome bonus awarded right out of the gate, new players can have the ability to continue wagering on the ProphetX platform using incentive funds rather than having to make an additional deposit right away.
PROPHETX: New users can use promo code TSN to trade $50 and get $75 in incentive funds
OG.com prediction market offer
On OG.com, new users can trade $10 and get $10 on the prediction platform.
This is exclusive to new accounts that are verified as 18 years old and reside in the United States. Availability varies by state, and other terms and conditions may apply.
How to trade Canelo vs. Mbilli with prediction markets
Trading on this weekend’s Alvarez vs. Mbilli card is a simple process for users to take part in. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to trade in on the action:
- (if applicable) Create a prediction market account: Users must choose on which prediction market to create an account with.
- (if applicable) Verify your account and deposit: Once users set up their account with verification details and deposit funds, they can move on to making a prediction.
- Find the Boxing section: This location varies across the market, but this can usually be found on the top or side navigation bar.
- Locate a desirable game and market: Now that you’ve made it to the Boxing tab, you’ll be presented with fights that can be predicted on. Click on a matchup and find a market (match lines, fighter props, etc.). Good luck!
ProphetX Canelo vs. Mbilli prediction markets
ProphetX has some available markets for Saturday night’s boxing card. As a reminder for those used to sports betting, ProphetX displays market percentages instead of betting odds. The percentages reflect the collective implied probability of an event. Meanwhile, betting odds are set by the house to bake in a profit margin.
Here’s an outline of some markets users can predict on:
More markets could be released as users create them.
MORE: Promo code TSN gets you $75 in investment funds when you trade $50 on ProphetX
ProphetX Alvarez vs. Mbilli card value picks
Among active fighters, Canelo is eighth in +/- at 12.3. He ranks seventh with a power connect percentage mark of 44.9% and tenth in the current pound-for-pound rankings in average total punches landed per round (12.3). Canelo’s power is real. He has the third-highest landing percentage (71.5). The Mexican fighter’s opponents land the sixth-highest punches landed per round (9.3) and the sixth-fewest (9.3).
Per ESPN, Mbilli lands about 30.4 body shots per round. He lands 3.8 jabs per round. Recent performances could help figure out where these fighters really have the edge. Against former contender Sergiy Derevyanchenko, Mbilli landed 215 of 696 shots (30.9%) and didn’t take his foot off the gas. Derevyanchenko was also a one-armed fighter thanks to a biceps injury. In a draw against Lester Martinez, Mbilli landed 273 of 787 shots, while Martinez landed 412 of 980.
Mbilli will be tested on how long his rapid-fire punches can hold up, and Canelo is a boxer that loves to leave it up to the judges’ scorecards. Alvarez is too skilled a boxer to let his guard down during a Mbilli barrage, and he should prevail in the later rounds.
At this portion of his career, Alvarez isn’t the flashy knockout kind of boxer. He’s one that will bob and weave until an opponent tires themself before putting on a show for the judges. Canelo’s last eight fights have all gone to the judges, and he’s gone 6-2 in that span, with losses only to Terrence Crawford (2025) and Dmitri Bivol (2022). Mbilli will have to be careful not to tire himself out with how many punches he throws per round. Unless the underdog knocks Canelo out, this line should hit.
Kalshi Alvarez vs. Mbilli markets
Of course, Kalshi offers their own batch of markets for Alvarez vs. Mbilli as well. They’re outlined here:
OG.com Alvarez vs. Mbilli prediction markets
OG.com also takes predictions for this weekend’s Alvarez vs. Mbilli fight. Here’s what platform users can decide on the card:
MORE: New users on OG.com can trade $10 to get $10 using code TSN25
OG.com Alvarez vs. Mbilli value plays
Mbilli comes forward and throws for volume. Can Canelo deflect potential punishing blows? More importantly, can he glide and counter with punishing shots of his own? After a year away from the ring, Canelo will be tested. However, he’s still Canelo. He should dictate the pace and earn the win, further cementing his status as the best in boxing. It may come later in the fight when the Cameroonian tires, but Canelo should emerge victorious from this bout.
Polymarket Alvarez vs. Mbilli markets
Finally, it’s time to look at what markets Polymarket is offering for Saturday’s Alvarez vs. Mbilli card. Here’s what users can predict on:
Canelo Alvarez vs. Christian Mbilli full card
- Christian Mbilli (c) vs. Canelo Alvarez for the WBC super middleweight title
- Jaime Munguia vs. Nikita Zon; Super Middleweights
- Rafael Espinoza (c) vs. Ricardo Blandon for the WBO featherweight title
- David Picasso vs. Carl Jammes Martin; Featherweights
- Reito Tsutsumi vs. Raymundo Rojas Garcia; Super Featherweights
- Bek Nurmaganbet vs. Marcos Vazquez Rodriguez; Super Middleweights
- Brayan Leon vs. Hector Aguirre; Super Middleweights
- Emiliano Rojo vs. Flavius Biea; Middleweights
- Sultan Almohammed vs. Erick Jahir Urvina Villegas; Super Featherweights
