NFL Week 10 is here, and the playoff picture is beginning to take shape as teams look to build momentum heading into the second half of the season.
With the regular season at its midpoint, teams are beginning to separate themselves from the pack, while others are fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive. This week’s schedule features several intriguing matchups, including the Patriots vs. Lions in Germany, 49ers vs. Cowboys, Steelers vs. Bengals and Chiefs vs. Falcons.
There are also plenty of opportunities to find value in prediction markets, whether through point spreads, moneylines or player props. With several high-powered offenses taking the field, Week 10 has the potential to deliver memorable performances.
Prediction markets are a great way for NFL and all sports fans to choose “Yes” or “No” answers on a team, player or game outcomes. It completely negates having to decode what sports betting odds are and what each line entails.
It’s never too late in the sports calendar to start using ProphetX. And new users can get started with the TSN promo code for a $40 prediction bonus. Here are the best prediction market apps to use for Week 10’s NFL slate, including the best offers and information about each platform.
MORE: A complete guide for using ProphetX
NFL Week 10 prediction market offers
ProphetX prediction market offer
ProphetX is one of the best up-and-coming prediction markets in the country, and the new user promo code doesn’t hurt. Currently, first-time traders on ProphetX can claim an enticing welcome offer at sign-up to trade $40 and get $40 in bonus funds.
Once applying promo code TSN, new users must trade $40 on any qualifying market to receive the bonus reward. The $40 bonus will be paid out in two $10 and one $20 installments across 15 days. With the welcome bonus awarded right out of the gate, new players can have the ability to continue trading on the ProphetX platform using incentive funds rather than having to make an additional deposit right away.
PROPHETX: New users can use promo code TSN to trade $40 and get $40 in incentive funds
Kalshi prediction market offer
New users don’t need a promo code to cash in on special promotions. New Kalshi accounts can trade $25 and get $25 when they use The Sporting News’ link.
Users must be 18 years or older in an eligible state to receive the promotion. They must trade $25 in contracts in order to earn the bonus credit.
OG.com prediction market offer
On OG.com, new users can trade $10 and get $10 on the prediction platform.
This is exclusive to new accounts that are verified as 18 years old and reside in the United States. Availability varies by state, and other terms and conditions may apply.
ProphetX NFL Week 10 prediction markets
ProphetX has an extensive selection of available markets for Week 10 of this year’s NFL campaign. As a reminder for those used to sports betting, ProphetX displays market percentages instead of betting odds. The percentages reflect the collective implied probability of an event. Meanwhile, betting odds are set by the house to bake in a profit margin.
Here’s an outline of some markets users can predict on:
- Game lines (moneyline, spread, game total)
- Team totals
- TD props (TD scorers, first/last TD, passing TDs)
- Passing props (passing TDs, yards, completions, interceptions, longest pass)
- Rushing props (yards, attempts, longest rush)
- Receiving props (yards, receptions, longest reception)
- Combo props (passing + rush yards, rushing + receiving yards, tackles + assists)
- Defensive props (tackles, assists, sacks)
- Kicking props (kicking points, field goals made)
- Quarter/Half props (moneyline, spread, total)
MORE: Promo code TSN gets you $40 in investment funds when you trade $40 on ProphetX
ProphetX
ProphetX NFL Week 10 value plays
Allen’s mobility adds another dimension to Buffalo’s already explosive offense. Allen is averaging 35.6 rushing yards per game this season on 7.6 carries per contest, putting him comfortably above this week’s line. He has also rushed for 285 yards and nine touchdowns through eight games, demonstrating how frequently Buffalo uses his legs, particularly in high-pressure and red-zone situations. Allen’s ability to extend plays when the pocket breaks down gives him more opportunities to gain yardage, even when the passing game is working effectively.
With the Bills looking to maintain their offensive momentum, Allen should have enough opportunities on designed runs and scrambles to surpass the 27.5-yard mark.
MORE: How do prediction market fees work?
The Rams should lean on their ground game against a Cardinals defense that has struggled to consistently stop opposing offenses. Williams is averaging 65.9 rushing yards per game this season on 14.1 carries, putting him just above this week’s line. He has also demonstrated his big-play ability, rushing for at least 80 yards in four games this season, including a 99-yard performance against the Raiders.
The Rams enter this matchup riding a three-game winning streak and should be well positioned to establish the run, especially if they can build an early lead. With Williams serving as a focal point of the Los Angeles offense, he should receive enough opportunities to surpass the 64.5-yard mark.
Seahawks -6.5 is an appealing pick against the Raiders, especially with rookie quarterback Fernando Mendoza preparing to make his first NFL start. Mendoza faces a difficult introduction to the league against a Seattle defense that has been among the best in football, allowing just 18.0 points per game and ranking among the league leaders in passing defense. The Raiders are also coming off a disastrous 38-17 loss to San Francisco, in which they committed five turnovers, highlighting their struggles to move the ball consistently.
Seattle, meanwhile, is coming off a dominant 17-3 victory over Arizona, where its defense held the Cardinals to just 216 total yards. With Mendoza being thrown into the starting role against an experienced, aggressive defense, expect the Seahawks to take advantage of the rookie’s inexperience and win by at least a touchdown.
MORE: Everything to know about the ProphetX promo code
Shough has shown the ability to make plays with his legs when the pocket breaks down. He rushed for 51 yards against Cleveland in Week 9 and has surpassed this week’s mark in three of his last four home starts. He also recorded 23 rushing yards against Baltimore and 36 against Las Vegas earlier this season, demonstrating his ability to pick up significant yardage on scrambles. With Shough averaging 20.3 rushing yards per game over his last 10 appearances, the 16.5-yard threshold is manageable. His mobility should give New Orleans another way to move the chains, making the over an intriguing player prop.
Kalshi NFL Week 10 markets
Of course, Kalshi offers their own batch of markets for Week 10 as well. They’re outlined here:
- Game lines (moneyline, spread, game total)
- Team totals (points, FGs, yards, safety, sacks)
- Game props (first team to score, win margin, both teams to score)
- TD props (anytime TDs, first TD, player to score team’s TD, defensive TD)
- Passing props (passing TDs, yards, completions, attempts, interceptions)
- Rushing props (yards, attempts, longest rush, most rushing yards)
- Receiving props (yards, receptions, longest reception, most receiving yards)
- Combo props (rushing + receiving yards)
- Quarter/Half props (moneyline, spread, total)
- Other props (fantasy points, race to points, overtime, tie)
MORE: Complete guide to using Kalshi
Kalshi NFL Week 10 value plays
The Chiefs hold a significant advantage at quarterback and have been the more consistent team all season. Patrick Mahomes followed a strong performance against the Jets, throwing for 242 yards and two touchdowns in a 35-12 victory. Kansas City also features an explosive rushing attack led by Kenneth Walker III, who rushed for 102 yards and scored three touchdowns last week. Defensively, the Chiefs have been particularly effective against the run, allowing just 96.3 rushing yards per game, which could make life difficult for Bijan Robinson and the Falcons’ offense.
Atlanta has also lost two straight games, including a 34-17 defeat to Cincinnati, and has struggled to find consistency offensively. If Kansas City can control the line of scrimmage and force Atlanta into passing situations, the Chiefs have a good opportunity to win by more than a field goal.
Arizona will turn to rookie Carson Beck for his first NFL start after Gardner Minshew suffered an elbow injury, setting up a difficult matchup against a talented Rams defense. Los Angeles ranks among the league’s better defensive units and should be able to pressure the rookie into mistakes. The Cardinals will also be without leading receiver Michael Wilson for the remainder of the season, further limiting their offensive options.
Meanwhile, Matthew Stafford and the Rams have won three straight games and have the offensive talent to exploit Arizona’s defensive struggles. With the Cardinals averaging just 19.8 points per game and facing a major quarterback adjustment, expect Los Angeles to control this divisional matchup and win by double digits.
Tennessee has struggled to generate consistent offense throughout the season. The Titans are averaging just 18 points per game, ranking 28th in the NFL, and have averaged only 272.5 total yards per game. Quarterback Cam Ward has also struggled with consistency, throwing just six touchdowns and five interceptions through eight games. Jacksonville, meanwhile, has played excellent defense, coming off a dominant 33-10 win over Baltimore in which it forced three turnovers and held the Ravens to just 227 total yards.
The Jaguars should be able to control the tempo and put pressure on Ward, while their ability to establish the run could help shorten the game. With Tennessee struggling offensively and Jacksonville able to dictate the pace, the under 46.5 is an attractive play.
OG.com NFL Week 10 prediction markets
OG.com also has a solid list of markets for users to make predictions on. Here’s what platform users can decide on for this week of gridiron action:
MORE: New users on OG.com can trade $10 to get $10 using code TSN25
OG.com NFL Week 10 value plays
Green Bay Packers -3.5 is an appealing pick against Minnesota, particularly with the Vikings likely turning to veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins for his first start since rejoining the team. Although Cousins is familiar with head coach Kevin O’Connell’s offensive system, he will have very little time to prepare after being acquired from the Las Vegas Raiders ahead of the trade deadline. The quick turnaround could create some timing issues against a Packers defense that will look to pressure the veteran quarterback.
Both teams have the offensive talent to contribute to a high-scoring matchup. Detroit is averaging 28.4 points per game, while New England has shown plenty of offensive upside behind quarterback Drake Maye, who has thrown 18 touchdowns this season. The Patriots have also seen the over hit in each of their last six games, demonstrating their tendency to be involved in high-scoring contests.
Detroit’s offense, led by Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jahmyr Gibbs, can exploit New England’s defense and generate explosive plays. Meanwhile, Maye should have plenty of opportunities to put points on the board against a Lions secondary that has allowed big plays through the air. With both quarterbacks capable of leading productive passing attacks, this international matchup could turn into a shootout and surpass the 51.5-point total.
MORE: Which prediction market app is best for sports?
Drake Maye over 274.5 passing yards is an appealing pick against Detroit because the Lions have struggled significantly against opposing passing attacks this season. Detroit is allowing approximately 261 passing yards per game, ranking among the worst secondaries in the NFL. Maye has already demonstrated his ability to put up big numbers, throwing for 299 yards and three touchdowns against Green Bay in Week 9. He also has multiple receiving options who can create plays downfield, giving him opportunities to exploit Detroit’s defensive weaknesses.
Polymarket NFL Week 10 markets
Finally, it’s time to look at what markets Polymarket is offering for this slate of Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night games. Here’s what users can predict on:
MORE: What to know about Polymarket prediction markets
- Game lines (moneyline, spread, game total)
- Team totals (TDs, yards, FGs)
- Game props (race to points, first to score points, first to score TD, margin of victory, defensive TD, 2-point conversion, safety, overtime)
- TD props (anytime TDs, first TD, player to score team’s TD, defensive TD)
- Passing props (passing TDs, yards, completions, attempts, interceptions)
- Rushing props (yards, attempts)
- Receiving props (yards, receptions, longest reception)
- Combo props (scrimmage yards)
- Quarter/Half props (moneyline, spread, total)
- Other props (fantasy points)
How to trade NFL Week 10 with prediction markets
Trading on NFL Week 10 is a simple process for users to take part in. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to trade in on the action:
- (if applicable) Create a prediction market account: Users must choose which prediction market to create an account with.
- (if applicable) Verify your account and deposit: Once users set up their account with verification details and deposit funds, they can move on to making a prediction.
- Find the NFL section: This location varies across the market, but this can usually be found on the top or side navigation bar.
- Locate a desirable game and market: Now that you’ve made it to the NFL tab, you’ll be presented with games that can be predicted on. Click on a matchup and find a market (game lines, player props, etc.). Good luck!
