The UFC’s return to Madison Square Garden for UFC 334 features two title fights. The card will also feature several veterans and young fighters looking to make a statement.
Stephen Thompson headlines the prelims against Charles Radtke. A former title contender, Thompson (17-9-1) competes in his final MMA fight. “Wonderboy” takes on Radtke (12-5), a power hitter on a two-fight win streak.
Meanwhile, Jim Miller (39–19, 1 NC) competes in his 60th fight against the explosive Terrance McKinney (18-9), while Juan Diaz (16-1) looks to continue his progress against Alateng Heili (18-10-2).
We break down the best prediction market apps for UFC 334, including the top promos and value picks on ProphetX, Kalshi, Polymarket and more. New users can get started with promo code TSN to earn a $40 prediction bonus on ProphetX.
Here’s everything you need to know about using the best prediction markets for Saturday’s UFC 334.
MORE: A complete guide for using ProphetX
UFC 334 prediction market offers
ProphetX prediction market offer
ProphetX is one of the best up-and-coming prediction markets in the country, and the new user promo code doesn’t hurt. Currently, first-time traders on ProphetX can claim an enticing welcome offer at sign-up to trade $40 and get $40 in bonus funds.
Once applying promo code TSN, new users must trade $40 on any qualifying market to receive the bonus reward. The $40 bonus will be paid out in two $10 and one $20 installments across 15 days. With the welcome bonus awarded right out of the gate, new players can have the ability to continue trading on the ProphetX platform using incentive funds rather than having to make an additional deposit right away.
PROPHETX: New users can use promo code TSN to trade $40 and get $40 in incentive funds
How to trade UFC 334 with prediction markets
Trading on this weekend’s UFC 334 card is a simple process for users to take part in. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to trade in on the action:
- (if applicable) Create a prediction market account: Users must choose on which prediction market to create an account with.
- (if applicable) Verify your account and deposit: Once users set up their account with verification details and deposit funds, they can move on to making a prediction.
- Find the UFC section: This location varies across the market, but this can usually be found on the top or side navigation bar.
- Locate a desirable game and market: Now that you’ve made it to the UFC tab, you’ll be presented with fights that can be predicted on. Click on a matchup and find a market (game lines, player props, etc.). Good luck!
ProphetX
ProphetX UFC 334 prediction markets
ProphetX has an extensive selection of available markets for Saturday night’s UFC 334 card. As a reminder for those used to sports betting, ProphetX displays market percentages instead of betting odds. The percentages reflect the collective implied probability of an event. Meanwhile, betting odds are set by the house to bake in a profit margin.
Here’s an outline of some markets users can predict on:
- Game lines (moneyline, total rounds)
- Method of victory
- To go the distance
- Significant strikes
MORE: Promo code TSN gets you $75 in investment funds when you trade $50 on ProphetX
UFC 334 prelims expert picks on ProphetX
Thompson lands 4.05 significant strikes and averages 0.23 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. “Wonderboy” is also susceptible to takedowns. On a three-fight losing streak, it’s the last bout of his MMA career.
Radtke has won two straight. “Chuck Buffalo” lands 2.50 significant strikes and averages 1.99 takedowns landed. He’s won two straight, but faces someone with an impressive resume in Thompson.
Retirement fights can either end on a good or bad note. Even in his 40s, Thompson can still pack a punch. He’s also a sharp fighter, though not close to when he fought for gold. It’s also been 16 months since his last fight. Still, if he’s recharged, his range management could be enough to secure a win.
Dober lands 4.48 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 4.33 strikes. He’s on a two-fight win streak. Duncan lost his last fight, but was on a four-fight win streak before facing Renato Moicano. He lands 4.83 significant strikes, absorbs 4.57 strikes, and averages 2.92 takedowns landed per 15 minutes.
This could be Fight of the Night. Dober is an exciting fighter, but has faltered against top-tier competition. Duncan may have lost to Moicano, but his violent tendencies should make him dangerous against another step-up opponent. Mix in some wrestling, and Dober may get overwhelmed following an entertaining few minutes.
McKinney lands 6.83 significant strikes per minute. He also averages 3.27 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. Recently, he lost to another vet in King Green.
On the UFC’s roster since 2008, Miller lands 2.92 significant strikes and averages 1.49 takedowns landed. The 43-year-old has traded wins and losses since 2024, winning his last fight in May.
Miller has either pulled off submission wins or lost via decision. Always game for a fight, he’s remained relevant. McKinney is explosive, but isn’t known for his defense. He also missed weight by a large margin. A poised Miller should weather the storm and earn the win.
Chiasson, on a three-fight losing streak, lands 3.21 significant strikes per minute. She also averages 1.87 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. Mesquita has won three straight in the octagon, all via a finish. She lands 4.52 significant strikes and averages 3.57 takedowns landed.
Mesquita recovered from getting rocked by Melissa Mullins and got her in an armbar. She’s proven she can move past adversity. Despite a reach advantage, Chiasson doesn’t have momentum or enough power to hurt Mesquita. If she grabs Chiasson, Mesquita should bully her into submission.
Alateng is 2-2 in his last four fights. He lands 2.71 significant strikes per minute and averages 1.88 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. “The Mongolian Knight” does absorb 4.96 strikes. A Dana White’s Contender Series product, Diaz lands 3.72 significant strikes and averages 5.50 takedowns landed.
Diaz’s ceiling remains uncertain, though the UFC believes in him. Alateng is a patient fighter who looks for hard counters. The fight also comes at the last minute after Adrian Yanez had to back out, and Alateng, who fought in September, was put in. It will be a big test for Diaz, who should pass following an entertaining affair.
