The U.S. men’s national team opens its chase for a fourth Concacaf Nations League title Saturday afternoon, when they meet Haiti in the first leg of a two-game, aggregate-goals quarterfinal at Nu Stadium in Miami.

Haiti is technically the home side. Security concerns in Port-au-Prince moved their home leg to South Florida, though, so the Americans play both games on U.S. soil, with the return leg Tuesday night at TQL Stadium in Cincinnati. The winner moves on to the Nations League Finals in March at SoFi Stadium and also locks up a spot in the 2027 Gold Cup.

This is the USMNT’s first competitive match since their World Cup run ended against Belgium in the Round of 16. Mauricio Pochettino’s group won all four of their fall friendlies against Peru, Chile, Mexico and Canada, and they now get Christian Pulisic, Weston McKennie and Folarin Balogun back for a game that counts.

Haiti reached the quarterfinals by finishing second in Group A, edging the Dominican Republic on goal difference. Les Grenadiers haven’t beaten the U.S. since 1973. Still, they’ve stayed close lately: each of the Americans’ last three wins in the series came by a single goal, most recently a 2-1 result in the 2025 Gold Cup group stage.

Now is the perfect time to get started with ProphetX. New users can get started with the TSN promo code for a $40 prediction bonus. The Sporting News has everything you need to know about this weekend’s slate, along with how to get $40 worth of prediction bonuses on ProphetX.

MORE: A complete guide for using ProphetX

USA vs. Haiti markets on ProphetX

ProphetX offers an extensive selection of college football markets. As a reminder for sports bettors, ProphetX displays market percentages instead of betting odds. The percentages reflect the collective implied probability of an event. Meanwhile, the house sets betting odds to bake in a profit margin.

Here’s an outline of some markets users can predict on:

• Game lines (moneyline, spread, total)
• First-half props (moneyline, spread, total)
• Player props (goalscorer)

MORE: How ProphetX’s transaction fees compare to Kalshi, Polymarket

ProphetX

USA vs. Haiti value picks

The Americans haven’t just been winning since the World Cup. They’ve been pulling away from people. Three of their four fall wins came by at least two goals, including a 4-1 rout of Peru and a 3-0 thumping of Mexico in Glendale.

The goals came from everywhere, too. Julian Hall scored against Peru, Chile and Mexico, Cavan Sullivan found the net against El Tri at 17 years old, and Justin Ellis scored the winner against Canada. Pochettino now gets to add Christian Pulisic, Weston McKennie and Folarin Balogun to that mix, and this is the most complete roster he’s had since the summer.

Haiti’s group-stage numbers look solid on paper, but most of that damage came against Trinidad and Tobago and the Dominican Republic. When Les Grenadiers stepped up in class at the World Cup, Brazil beat them 3-0 and Morocco put four on them.

To be fair, the recent head-to-head history leans the other way. Each of the last three U.S. wins over Haiti came by a single goal, including the 2-1 result at last year’s Gold Cup. That Gold Cup group was missing most of the regular starters, though, and this version of the USMNT is deeper and playing with a lot more confidence. At 52.61% on ProphetX, I’ll back the Americans to win by two or more.

Start with what Haiti has done against legit competition. They were held scoreless by Scotland and Brazil at the World Cup, then got shut out 2-0 by Costa Rica in their group finale with Keylor Navas in goal. Even their 3-2 win over Trinidad and Tobago needed two stoppage-time goals from Garven Metusala and Wilson Isidor.

The U.S. back line closed the fall window on a strong note, keeping clean sheets against both Mexico and Canada. Diego Kochen and Brian Schwake each earned one in their first starts, and Chris Richards, Antonee Robinson, and captain Tyler Adams are all back for this camp. That’s a sturdy spine for a Haiti attack that leans heavily on Isidor.

The setup of this tie helps as well. Haiti only needs to stay within reach heading to Cincinnati on Tuesday, so I expect them to sit deep, play compact, and stay out of a track meet. That approach gives the Americans plenty of the ball and doesn’t leave much for Haiti on the counter.

The U.S. did give up three goals combined to Peru and Chile, so they haven’t been airtight every time out. Still, the most likely scripts here are a 2-0 or 3-0, and either one cashes this ticket alongside the -1.5.

ProphetX promo code for USA vs. Haiti

ProphetX is one of the best up-and-coming prediction markets in the country, and the new user promo code doesn’t hurt. Currently, first-time traders on ProphetX can claim an enticing welcome offer at sign-up to trade $40 and get $40 in bonus funds.

Once applying promo code TSN, new users must trade $40 on any qualifying market to receive the bonus reward. The $40 bonus will be paid out in two $10 and one $20 installments across 15 days. With the welcome bonus awarded right out of the gate, new players can have the ability to continue trading on the ProphetX platform using incentive funds rather than having to make an additional deposit right away.

MORE: Which prediction markets are best for sports?

How to claim ProphetX promo code for USA vs. Haiti

There are multiple steps before a new user can earn their special promotion code. Here are the tasks new ProphetX accounts must complete before adding some incentive funds to their account:

1. Click here or any ProphetX offer on this page to go to the ProphetX sign-up page.
2. Create your account with your email and a password, then confirm the verification code ProphetX emails you.
3. Enter the promo code TSN in the promo code field during registration.
4. Verify your identity with your full name, date of birth, address, and the last four digits of your Social Security number.
5. Make an initial deposit and complete $40 in qualifying trades within 30 days. Only trades that open a new position at 80 cents or lower count, but you can spread the $40 across multiple trades or go all in on one market.
6. Keep your eyes out for your first $10 credit, which must be used in full within a week in order to unlock the second installment. That second batch of incentive funds must be spent in full within another week to unlock the third.

ProphetX promo code terms and conditions

Here are the important terms and conditions tied to unlocking this promotion:

• New participants only in the 49 available states (excluding Nevada)
• Trade $40+ to unlock $40 in non-withdrawable incentive funds
• $40 bonus is paid in two $10 and one $20 installments over 15 days
• Trades above 80% excluded
• Each installment expires 45 days after credit