The UFC heads back to the Meta Apex in Las Vegas for a lightweight showdown between Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan.

Moicano (21-7-1) is ranked eighth in the lightweight rankings. The former title contender is 2-2 in his last four fights. Ranked 12th, Nolan (11-1) is on a five-fight win streak and aims to beat his toughest challenge to date.

It’s the old vs. new guard at the Apex. Nolan looks to take Moicano’s spot in the rankings, while the latter hopes for another win streak.  

The main card begins at 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+. We break down the odds, best bets and predictions for Moicano vs. Nolan and the main card, plus the top sportsbook promos to use this weekend. Plus, new users can bet $10 on UFC Vegas 123 and get $200 in Bonus Bets win or lose at bet365 Sportsbook.

MORE: Breaking down the best UFC betting sites

How to bet on UFC Vegas 123

Betting on the UFC Vegas 123 fight card is simple. First, choose a sportsbook to bet with. DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, bet365, theScore Bet, and Fanatics all offer odds on the entire UFC Vegas 123 fight card. 

1. Choose your sportsbook

Once you choose your sportsbook, you can claim a welcome bonus. First, sign up and enter your verification information, such as your name, address, Social Security number, and other details. Once your account is confirmed, you can claim a welcome bonus from one of the sportsbooks below.

2. Learn the main MMA bet types

You can bet on MMA in several ways, including popular bet types. Moneylines let users pick an outright winner and profit if their fighter wins. Total round betting lets bettors call their own shot on how many rounds a fight will last. Prop betting offers niche markets that any MMA bettor could want.

3. Research

Successful MMA betting requires analyzing fighter statistics like strikes and takedowns, recent form, style matchups, and training camps to identify value in the odds. Key factors include researching a fighter’s opponent quality, whether long layoffs matter, and overinflated lines.

4. Place your bet

Pick the fighter you want to win, or the method of victory you want them to win by, and enjoy the fights.

MORE: Beginner’s guide to parlay betting

Where to bet on UFC Vegas 123

If you’re looking to get in on the betting action for UFC Vegas 123 but are new to some of the best sportsbooks in your area, take advantage of new-user promos and welcome bonuses.

UFC Vegas 123 odds and best bets

The following odds are all courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight)

Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan prediction and best bet

The colorful Moicano lands 4.10 significant strikes per minute and averages 1.68 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. He’s susceptible to the takedown but can strike with the best of them. Nolan lands 4.84 significant strikes and averages 1.08 takedowns landed, landing four in his last three fights.

Nolan is on a five-fight win streak, but hasn’t faced the same level of competition as Moicano. The latter halted Chris Duncan’s momentum, in a similar spot compared to Nolan. In his short time in the octagon, Nolan has absorbed 3.74 significant strikes.

If Nolan clinches, Moicano can take advantage. Moicano’s grappling is also sneaky good. It seems Moicano will prove he still has a lot to give, at Nolan’s expense.

Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight)

Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith prediction and best bet

A veteran, Brown is on a two-fight losing streak. He lands 4.39 significant strikes per minute and averages 0.71 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. “Rude Boy” absorbs 3.35 significant strikes. Smith lands 6.91 significant strikes and averages 7.92 takedowns landed in five octagon fights.

Brown can cause another upset and join the list of fighters who have taken down top prospects. Smith, a Dana White’s Contender Series product, steps in on 12 days’ notice. Brown has range, but Smith is an explosive striker who can also tire an opponent out on the floor. Though he has the reach advantage, Brown may not be able to avoid Smith’s quickness.

Ode’ Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight)

Ode’ Osbourne vs. Cody Durden prediction and best bet

Osbourne lands 2.94 significant strikes per minute and averages 0.94 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. He’s gotten dropped eight times in two fights and has one win in his last six contests. Durden lands 3.27 significant strikes and averages 3.82 takedowns landed. He’s also won one bout in six contests.

It’s a rough fight, not going to sugarcoat it. Both desperately need a win. Durden seems to have the edge with his takedowns but has been mainly striking. Osbourne’s wrestling hasn’t helped him. Something has got to give. The fight should be a slugfest, with Osbourne, avoiding to get cut, landing the better strikes.

Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Bantamweight)

Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos prediction and best bet

It’s Santos vs. Santos. Yana lands 4.41 significant strikes per minute and averages 0.78 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. She’s on a three-fight win streak. Luana has also won three straight. She lands 2.53 significant strikes and averages 2.14 takedowns landed.

Despite the win streak, Luana doesn’t throw for volume, while Yana has almost reached triple-digit strikes in two of her last four fights. Luana has fought more recently. She’s also a better grappler, and Yana may not defend well on the ground. It may be a long night for Yana.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight)

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov prediction and best bet

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani has made an immediate impact since debuting on Dana White’s Contender Series. He lands 4.14 significant strikes per minute and averages 2.89 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. He has absorbed 4.05 strikes. Hasanov did drop Eric Nolan 17 times in his UFC debut. He lands 1.40 significant strikes per minute.

Lebosnoyani has elite jiu-jitsu and can even manage his own on the ground. If Lebosnoyani finds an open window, he will take it and quickly dispatch Hasanov.

UFC Vegas 123 prelims and full card

Main Card

• Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan; Lightweights
• Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith; Welterweights
• Ode’ Osbourne vs. Cody Durden; Flyweights
• Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos; Bantamweights
• Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov; Welterweights

Prelims

• Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope; Featherweights
• Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor Berggren; Welterweights
• Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee; Featherweights
• Zachary Reese vs. Mickey Gall; Middleweights
• Nick Klein vs. Joseph Kropschot; Middleweights
• Talita Alencar vs. Piera Rodriguez; Strawweights
• Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa; Bantamweights