The Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots are meeting in a Super Bowl 49 rematch for Super Bowl 60 on Sunday.
It’s a great matchup, with the two defenses having some incredible upside, and the offenses being high-flying but susceptible to turnovers. It should be an entertaining game if nothing else.
But, for the Seahawks, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), their chance to win the Super Bowl looks good. Not only do the experts favor the Seahawks, but ESPN’s prediction model is in favor of Seattle beating New England.
Seahawks get favorable prediction from ESPN model for Super Bowl 60
“ESPN’s FPI has the Seahawks winning 59.6% of the simulations – and they are favored to win by an average of 3.6 points,” ESPN shared.
This prediction model uses Expected Points Added Per Play (EPA) to help predict how good teams actually are. Seattle and New England are both top-10 in FPI from ESPN.
The Seahawks are first, with an FPI of 7.0, while the Patriots are 10th with an FPI of 2.6. “The Patriots are ninth on offense, and the Seahawks rank 11th,” ESPN shared. “On defense, Seattle ranks first, and New England is 11th.”
Seattle’s defense is the best in the league by a lot of metrics, FPI included. Nick Emmanwori, Devon Witherspoon, a dominant defensive line, and expert play calling from Mike Macdonald have this unit the best in the league.
More: ESPN’s Super Bowl predictions are in, and it’s not close between Seahawks and Patriots
Offensively, while Seattle might not be as strong as the Patriots, thanks in large part to Sam Darnold’s turnovers, their offense can still go toe-to-toe with any team in the league.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kenneth Walker III, Cooper Kupp, AJ Barner, and Rashid Shaheed will be tough to stop. While Zach Charbonnet is out, the Seahawks offense has what it needs to beat the Patriots’ defense on Sunday.
Coming into this matchup, the Seahawks are favored by ESPN’s metric, and they currently have a 59.6% chance to win. With how good their defense is, and as long as Darnold plays safe, the Seahawks should be able to beat the Patriots in Super Bowl 60.
