The Milwaukee Brewers (52-40), behind a solid performance from starter Jose Quintana (6-3, 3.44 ERA), aim to complete the series sweep against the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers (56-37) with Tyler Glasnow (1-0, 4.50 ERA) making his first start since April 27.

The Brewers are riding high, having won four of their last five games, including 3-1 victory Tuesday night led by rookie phenom Jacob Misiorowski.

Conversely, the Dodgers are grappling with a concerning slump, having been outscored a staggering 38-7 during a four-game losing streak. Their offense has managed only seven total runs in this stretch, struggling significantly with runners in scoring position (below .200 over the last week) and experiencing a noticeable power outage (only three home runs in their last six games).

It will be a contrast in styles between Glasnow and Quintana, with the former using a high-octane arsenal that will test a Brewers lineup that has been opportunistic so far in this series. 

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Odds as of July 9, 2025 at 10:15 a.m. ET from DraftKings.

The odds paint the Los Angeles Dodgers as moderate road favorites, a line seemingly based more on reputation and the presence of Tyler Glasnow than recent play.

Despite Los Angeles’s four-game losing streak and Milwaukee’s series dominance, the betting market is still backing the Dodgers to avert a sweep. This creates potential value on the Brewers, who have been exceptional at home, winning 7 of their last 10 at American Family Field — and 29 of 47 there overall. Given Milwaukee’s momentum and the Dodgers’ offensive struggles, the +133 price on the home team is an attractive proposition for bettors looking to fade the slumping favorite.

Brewers vs Dodgers Odds Movement & Analysis

The betting lines have seen some telling movement since opening. The moneyline opened with the Dodgers at -157 and the Brewers at +128, with the market shifting slightly more in favor of Los Angeles to the current -163/+133. The run line has remained steady at 1.5 runs, with only minor price adjustments. The most significant move has been on the total, which opened with the Under 8.5 favored at -115 but has since flipped, with the Over 8.5 now priced at -112.

This movement appears to be driven by a sharp divide between public perception and professional action. Public betting data at DraftKings shows that 66% of moneyline tickets are on the Dodgers, likely influencing the line movement in their favor. However, a massive 82% of the actual money wagered is on the Brewers, a clear indicator of sharp money backing the home underdog. This reverse line movement against the handle suggests sportsbooks are comfortable taking on liability with the Brewers. Similarly, over 83% of bets are on the Over, pushing that line up and creating potential value on the Under.

For bettors, this points to a contrarian opportunity. The value is squarely on the Brewers moneyline (+133) and potentially the Under 8.5 (-108), betting against the public tide and alongside the sharper, more heavily-invested money.

Brewers vs Dodgers – Starting Pitcher Matchups & Batter History

Los Angeles Dodgers Batters vs Jose Quintana

As a veteran left-hander, Quintana relies on command and a five-pitch mix rather than pure velocity. He will have to be sharp against a Dodgers lineup stacked with elite hitters from both sides of the plate, including lefties Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman and righty Mookie Betts. Quintana’s success will hinge on his ability to disrupt timing and induce weak contact, as the Dodgers’ patient approach and power potential present a formidable challenge.

Milwaukee Brewers Batters vs Tyler Glasnow

Glasnow has had some success against current Brewers, notably holding Christian Yelich hitless in nine at-bats (with five strikeouts). In fact Brice Turang and Jake Bauers, both 1-for-3, are the only two Milwaukee batters with hits against him, though most have had fewer than a handful of at-bats. More than historical matchups, Glasnow’s overall sharpness off a more than two-month layoff will likely dictate the outcome.

Brewers vs Dodgers July 9 Batter Props

MLB batter props as of July 9, 2025 from DraftKings.

Brewers vs Dodgers July 9 Pitcher Props

MLB pitcher props as of July 9, 2025 from DraftKings.

For player props, the value lies in backing Tyler Glasnow and fading the Brewers’ bats. Glasnow’s strikeout total sits at 5.5, a total he’s exceeded in three of his five starts this season.  Conversely, for Brewers hitters like Christian Yelich the under on his total bases props could be profitable against an arm he has yet to solve in nine at-bats. For Jose Quintana, his strikeout prop is a low 3.5, but the over is heavily juiced. Facing a patient Dodgers lineup, the Under on his 15.5 outs (-120) seems more appealing, as he may struggle to go deep into the game.

Brewers vs Dodgers Picks & Prediction

The core of this matchup analysis comes down to a simple question: does the Dodgers’ pitching advantage with Tyler Glasnow outweigh their dreadful recent form and the Brewers’ home-field momentum? While Glasnow has been successful gainst Milwaukee’s hitters in a small sample size, he is also returning from a significant shoulder injury, and potential rust or pitch limits are legitimate concerns. On the other side, Jose Quintana is a reliable veteran, but he faces a lineup of All-Stars who are overdue for a breakout, even if they are slumping.

However, the situational trends are overwhelmingly in Milwaukee’s favor. The Brewers have won their last four games against the Dodgers and are an impressive 5-1 in their last six home games against teams with a winning record. The Dodgers, meanwhile, have faltered on the road, going just 1-3 in their last four away games as a favorite. Perhaps the most compelling trend is for the total: the Under has hit in 13 of the Brewers’ last 15 home games against winning opponents (an 86.7% rate).

With the sharp money pouring in on Milwaukee and the public backing a slumping Dodgers team, the value is clear. The Brewers are playing with confidence, their pitching has been stellar in this series, and their defense is elite. The Dodgers are pressing, their offense is cold, and their bullpen is depleted. We’ll stay off the possibility of the Dodgers getting swept and instead middle it with an underdog runline play. Meanwhile, we’ll ride the trends on the under.

Picks:

• Run Line: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-124)
• Total: Under 8.5 (-108)

Public Betting Splits

The early betting splits at DraftKings reveal a fascinating story. The public is heavily backing the Los Angeles Dodgers on the moneyline (66% of bets) and the run line (60% of bets), and they are overwhelmingly betting the Over (83% of bets). However, the “sharp” money tells a different tale. A staggering 82% of the moneyline handle is on the Milwaukee Brewers, indicating that large, professional wagers are on the home underdog. This sharp vs. public divide strongly supports a contrarian approach, aligning with the picks for the Brewers and the Under.