After two Championship Series games on Monday night, only the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians will continue the action tonight.

25-year-old Parker Messick is already making his third postseason start in just seven games. He’s given up two earned runs in each of his starts, but Cleveland’s batters shook off the evident rust from not playing in the Wild Card series. It took them a while to wake up in Game 1, but their bats got hot late in Monday’s contest with all seven of their runs coming in the final four innings.

Opposing Messick tonight will be Freddy Peralta, who’s shown vast improvement from his disastrous tenure with the New York Mets. As a Ray, he finished the season 5-2 with a 3.25 ERA in 10 starts, along with a perfect 5-0 with a 0.79 ERA (3 ER in 34 IP) across his final six regular-season starts. He didn’t get to the fifth inning against the Yankees in the ALDS, but he was able to allow only one run and three hits.

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Expert picks for MLB ALCS on Tuesday

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians (8 p.m. ET)

All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. If you’re a new user for DraftKings, be sure to take advantage of their new user welcome bonus.

Best bet

This line looked to be a smash hit after five innings only saw a total of two runs, both from the Rays in the first inning. Then, eight runs later, that thought became a fleeting one. Tampa’s bullpen had a rare flare-up last night after Cole Sulser and Tyler Wells gave up two or more earned runs each. That is quite an atypical result that shouldn’t repeat itself, especially in a Game 2 that holds this much importance.

Messick and Peralta will share the mound tonight, which is the first great sign for under bettors. While Tampa’s pitcher isn’t the flamethrowing strikeout machine that he was on Milwaukee, he’s been great at limiting runs down in the Sunshine State. In his last seven starts, including the regular season and postseason, he hasn’t allowed more than a run. In three of his last four starts, Messick has pitched in a game that’s totaled under this seven-run threshold. The Rays won’t take any chances in letting this game get out of hand. Their bullpen should hold down the fort, and the same can be said about Cleveland’s unit.

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Best MLB Playoffs player props for Tuesday

Despite another strikeout-filled outing from Drew Rasmussen, the Rays were unable to match the Guardians’ seven runs and dropped Game 1. Now, it’s up to Peralta to equalize the series before the team heads to Cleveland for the next two games. Tampa’s trade deadline acquisition has pitched well since August 26. He hasn’t allowed more than a run since then, and he’s consistently gone 4.2 IP or longer.

To get over this 13.5-out line, Peralta would need to stay in the game until that 4.2 IP benchmark. He’s done that in every start with Tampa this season with the exception of his first game. If this were looking at Peralta’s form on the Mets, this would be a scary line. However, his latest stretch makes this bet appear relatively safe unless Cleveland can get to him early. The Guardians batters who have previously seen pitches against Peralta have a cumulative average of .194 (12-for-62).

A huge reason why the Guardians are still kicking is because of Jose Ramirez. In his last four games, he’s totaled 23 H+R+R (5.75/game) and has consistently risen to the occasion. Tonight, he’ll take on Peralta, a pitcher whom he’s hit 2-for-6 against in the past. Cleveland’s been clicking when it comes to putting bat to ball; they’ve scored seven or more runs in three of their last four bouts. Until shown otherwise, Ramirez isn’t a batter to fade. He’s in great form right now and hasn’t indicated that’s changing anytime soon.